Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Goytre United		Trethomas Bluebirds

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.8	2.18
	2.63	3.74	2.19
	2.72	3.91	2.26	Watch
	2.65	3.78	2.19
	2.65	3.8	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.03)	3.81 ↓ (4.4)	2.2 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goytre United
34.4%

Draw
24%

Trethomas Bluebirds
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

20.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

20.4%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goytre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trethomas Bluebirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trethomas Bluebirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Goytre United - Trethomas Bluebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Edwards E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Edwards J. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Tedstone G. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.24	Ammanford - Goytre United	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Llantwit Major - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
17.09.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Goytre United	9:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.09.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Goytre United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Haverfordwest County - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWLTW

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