Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 15

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense		Nacional SP

	1	X	2
	2.36	2.85	3.05
	2.33	2.96	3.12	Watch
	2.29	2.88	3.17
	2.36	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
39%

Draw
31.6%

Nacional SP
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

31.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense - Nacional SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Nacional SP is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

São-Carlense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nacional SP is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São-Carlense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São-Carlense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.03.25	Paulista - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Colorado Caieiras	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Taquaritinga	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	São Caetano - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Jabaquara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLL
- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
15.03.25	Nacional SP - VOCEM	0:3 ✺
12.03.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Nacional SP	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Nacional SP - Matonense	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Joseense - Nacional SP	2:2 ✺
26.02.25	Nacional SP - Paulista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	Nacional SP - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:0

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Nacional SP