The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense 38.2%
Draw 29.4%
Penapolense 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
29.6%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
29.4%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense - Penapolense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
São-Carlense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Penapolense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São-Carlense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, São-Carlense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Watch
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