Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 17

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Grêmio Juventus		Metropolitano

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.00	1.82
	4.25	3.2	1.75
	4.25	3.28	1.75
	4.35	3.11	1.85
	4.2	3.2	1.72
	4.55	3.2	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.05)	3.17 ↑ (2.92)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Juventus
21%

Draw
28.4%

Metropolitano
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

30.3%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

29.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Juventus than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Grêmio Juventus - Metropolitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Metropolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metropolitano is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio Juventus won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio Juventus won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Metropolitano	18	12	2	4	36:18	18	38
9	Gremio Juventus	18	5	2	11	17:26	-9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Juventus
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
19.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Fluminense-SC	3:0 ✺
15.07.26	Hercílio Luz - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Guarani de Palhoça	1:0 ✺
08.07.26	Blumenau - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Jaraguá do Sul	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWTW
- Clube Atlético Metropolitano
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
18.07.26	Metropolitano - Jaraguá do Sul	6:1 ✺
15.07.26	Blumenau - Metropolitano	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Tubarão - Metropolitano	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Metropolitano - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Nação - Metropolitano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
30.05.26	Metropolitano - Grêmio Juventus	2:0
27.07.25	Grêmio Juventus - Metropolitano	0:0
09.06.24	Grêmio Juventus - Metropolitano	0:0
16.07.23	Metropolitano - Grêmio Juventus	0:3
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
18.04.21	Metropolitano - Grêmio Juventus	3:3

Grêmio Juventus - Metropolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide