The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Novorizontino 83.8%
Draw 10.6%
Ponte Preta 5.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
87.8%
8.5%
3.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
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2
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Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 20th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2.
In recent outings, Novorizontino has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ponte Preta has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Novorizontino could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ponte Preta has had a run of games away from home.
The betting markets point to Novorizontino as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Novorizontino against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.6 per game).