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Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta 9.7%
Draw 19.5%
Juventude 70.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.4%
19.9%
69.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10%
19.1%
72.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Ponte Preta - Juventude Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Juventude will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 23. Palacios S. 15. Gabriel Caran 4. Diego M. L. 13. Diego Porfirio 5. Rodrigo Souza 19. Danilo Peu 22. Denis 14. Danilo Barcelos (C) 7. Ferreira E. 9. Brandao
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 13. Aderlan 29. Gabriel Pires 75. Rai Silva 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Fabio Lima 25. Alisson Safira 44. Mandaca
Substitutes
6. Andrade R. 32. Di Mauro F. 1. Guilherme Viana (G) 44. Gustavo Almeida 35. Gustavo Telles 18. Joao Damiao 2. Julio 17. Miguel Morais 16. Nicolas Araujo 20. Thevyn
9. Alan Kardec 18. Amarilla L. 17. Castro M. 70. Juan Christian 5. Luan Martins 8. Lucas Mineiro 10. MP 22. Nathan Santos 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 3. Titi 6. Wadson
Coaches
Gilson Kleina
Mauricio Barbieri
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Mandaca ↓, MP ↑,
27', Messias 🟨,
35', Diego M. L. 🟨,
35', Ferreira E. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Rai Silva ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Denis 🟨,
55', Denis ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
57', Rai Silva ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
57', Fabio Lima ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
59', Amarilla L. 🟨,
60', Aderlan 🟨,
71', Danilo Peu ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
71', Ferreira E. ↓, Nicolas Araujo ↑,
72', Messias ↓, Titi ↑,
72', Alisson Safira ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
83', 0 - 2, MP ⚽, Aderlan (A),
87', Gustavo Telles 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A Betano).
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 0.
Ponte Preta is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Juventude has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ponte Preta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ponte Preta has faced a series of away games on the road.
The betting markets point to Juventude as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Ponte Preta: David da Hora
(Yellow Cards)
Elvis
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
Juan Rodrigues
(Yellow Cards)
Kevyson
(Knee Injury)
Souza M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Juventude: Allanzinho
(Knee Injury)
Marcos Paulo
(Yellow Cards).
Doubtful / questionable for Ponte Preta: Jonathan Cafu
(Injury).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ponte Preta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1.3 per game).
Brazil
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