Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grado C. S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Optus Sport
Belgium	21:00	Eleven Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Cyprus	22:00	PrimeTel
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	CMore
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	CMore Fotboll
United Kingdom	20:00	Viaplay
International	19:00	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Granada		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.44
	7.5	5	1.42	Watch
	6.5	5	1.43
	7.04	5.27	1.43
	7.5	5	1.4
	6.85	5.15	1.42	Watch
	7	5.2	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↓ (6.89)	5.05 ↑ (4.84)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
13.9%

Draw
18.9%

Barcelona
67.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.7%

19.5%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.1%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	1.4%	94.4%

Granada - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (67 of 71 users predict this - 94.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.01% – 99.73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 12. Sanchez R. 4. Rubio M. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 26. Zaragoza B. 24. Villar G. 23. Gumbau G. 33. Fernandez A. 11. Uzuni M. 7. Boye L.	1. ter Stegen M. (C) 2. Cancelo J. 23. Kounde J. 15. Christensen A. 3. Balde A. 6. Gavi 22. Gundogan I. 32. Lopez F. 27. Yamal L. 7. Torres F. 14. Joao Felix
Substitutes
9. Callejon J. 19. Diedhiou F. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Manafa W. 21. Melendo O. 22. Perea A. 18. Petrovic N. 10. Puertas A. 20. Ruiz S. 28. Torrent R. 5. Vallejo J. 17. Weissman S.	17. Alonso M. 4. Araujo R. 26. Astralaga A. (G) 37. Delgado P. V. 38. Guiu M. 5. Martinez I. 13. Pena I. (G) 20. Roberto S. 18. Romeu O.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Xavi

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 1.

Granada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barcelona in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Barcelona is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Granada: Diaz V. (Knee Injury) Fernandez R. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Lewandowski R. (Ankle Injury) Pedri (Muscle Injury) Raphinha (Hamstring Injury) de Jong F. (Ankle Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Granada won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 16-47.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
01.10.23	Almería - Granada	3:3 ✺
28.09.23	Granada - Betis	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Las Palmas - Granada	1:0 ✺
18.09.23	Granada - Girona	2:4 ✺
02.09.23	Real Sociedad - Granada	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL
- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Porto - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.23	Barcelona - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Mallorca - Barcelona	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Barcelona - Royal Antwerp	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.01.22	Granada - Barcelona	1:1
20.09.21	Barcelona - Granada	1:1
29.04.21	Barcelona - Granada	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.02.21	Granada - Barcelona	3:5 ET
Spanish LaLiga
09.01.21	Granada - Barcelona	0:4
19.01.20	Barcelona - Granada	1:0
21.09.19	Granada - Barcelona	2:0

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