Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Las Palmas		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.3	Watch
	1.73	3.48	5.85
	1.7	3.54	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.72	3.61	5.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.98)	3.48 ↑ (3.33)	5.53 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
56%

Draw
27%

Granada
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

28.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Palmas's performance.

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Granada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Palmas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	5.7%	20%

Las Palmas - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Granada will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Las Palmas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Granada (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Las Palmas (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Las Palmas (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Las Palmas will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 6 - 75%). Granada (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 17. Viti 4. Alex Suarez (C) 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 18. Miyashiro T. 12. Loiodice E. 16. Amatucci L. 22. Garcia A. 49. Bravo I. 14. Fuster M.	13. Astralaga A. (G) 17. Diaby B. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 3. Hormigo D. 21. Saenz P. 4. Alcaraz R. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 11. Arnaiz J. M.
Substitutes
13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 10. Jese 39. Pedrola E. 24. Pejino 20. Rodriguez K. 6. Sergio Barcia 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.	8. Aleman P. 22. Diallo B. 40. Diocou B. 34. Garcia I. (G) 41. Gonzalez I. 36. Juanjo 18. Lemos A. 28. Naasei O. 9. Petit G. 26. Rodelas S. 14. Trigueros M. 1. Zidane L. (G)
Coaches
Garcia L.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
24', Williams L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Garcia A. 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Marmol M. (A),
60', Bravo I. ↓, Jese ↑,
61', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
63', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Aleman P. ↑,
64', Ruiz S. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
64', Alcaraz R. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
73', Saenz P. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
80', Garcia A. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
80', Alex Suarez ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
80', Sola A. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
86', Horkas D. 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.

In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Granada is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Las Palmas is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Gutierrez C. (Inactive) Marvin (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Granada: Casadesus P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	Albacete Balompié - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Las Palmas - Ceuta	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Leonesa - Las Palmas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.26	Granada - Huesca	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Granada	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Granada - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Granada	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Granada - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.25	Granada - Las Palmas	0:0
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
03.02.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1
24.09.23	Las Palmas - Granada	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
15.04.23	Granada - Las Palmas	2:1
26.09.22	Las Palmas - Granada	2:0
Club Friendly
04.08.19	Granada - Las Palmas	2:0

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