The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirandés 46.4%
Draw 29.2%
Ferrol 24.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.4%
27.7%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
28%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Mirandés - Ferrol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 5. Rodriguez P. 24. Fernandez J. 4. Navarro C. 18. Rodri 16. Lozano M. (C) 8. Martinez R. 14. Auria M. 17. Perez P. 9. Unzueta I. 23. Dorrio J.
1. Diaz L. (G) 3. Pujol E. 5. Monjonell E. 4. Novoa G. 22. Garcia S. 14. Bernal J. 6. Gonzalez F. (C) 10. Ojeda D. 11. Bujan E. 19. Arroyo R. 20. Alcaina R.
Substitutes
22. Aguirregabiria M. 3. Arrillaga H. 13. Badia E. (G) 7. de la Iglesia D. 10. Espinosa N. 12. Gonzalez J. 15. Pedernales I. 19. Riki 20. Rodrigo Tapia A. 11. Uzkudun A. 6. Verde A.
16. Blanco R. 15. Castro D. 23. Djanbou S. 8. Esquerdo V. 18. Eto'o E. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 21. Garcia A. 17. Ramon A. 9. Ropero U.
Coaches
Muneta A.
Vazquez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽, Unzueta I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodri ↓, Aguirregabiria M. ↑,
57', Arroyo R. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
57', Garcia S. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
58', Perez P. ↓, Arrillaga H. ↑,
62', Dorrio J. 🟨,
68', Martinez R. 🟨,
68', Ojeda D. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
68', Bernal J. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
71', Unzueta I. ↓, Uzkudun A. ↑,
81', Monjonell E. 🟨,
82', Bujan E. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
86', Dorrio J. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
86', Navarro C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Uzkudun A. (A),
90+3', Uzkudun A. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In recent outings, Mirandés has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ferrol is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Mirandés for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Mirandés has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:4 (averaging 2.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mirandés against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:4 goals (averaging 3:1.3 per game).