Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+


	Granada		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.7	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4
	1.75	3.55	4.25
	1.88	3.71	4.38
	1.04	13.15	36.82	Watch
	1.88	3.78	4.09	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	4.98 ↑ (3.78)	8.85 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
65.2%

Draw
22.3%

Real Sociedad B
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Granada - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Real Sociedad B (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Granada (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 2. Casadesus P. 5. Lama M. 28. Oppong O. 22. Diallo B. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 4. Alcaraz R. 8. Aleman P. 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 5. Rodriguez P. (C) 3. Balda J. 23. Agote U. 8. Rodriguez M. 16. Gorosabel G. 14. Carbonell T. 11. Ochieng J. 18. Carrera G. 9. Orobengoa E.
Substitutes
11. Arnaiz J. M. 13. Astralaga A. (G) 10. Bouldini M. 33. Cortes S. 23. Gagnidze L. 34. Garcia I. (G) 18. Hongla M. 3. Hormigo D. 26. Rodelas S. 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M. 24. Williams L.	27. Astigarraga E. 37. Calderon I. 7. Diaz D. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 41. Folgado T. (G) 29. Garro J. 36. Lebarbier A. 10. Mariezkurrena A.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Faye S. ⚽, Sola A. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Faye S. ⚽,
11', 3 - 0, Alcaraz R. ⚽,
22', 4 - 0, Sola A. ⚽, Aleman P. (A),
29', Agote U. 🟨,
30', 5 - 0, Oppong O. ⚽,
38', Ochieng J. 🟨,
42', Diallo B. 🟨,
43', 5 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽, Ochieng J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Agote U. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
46', Dadie Izagirre A. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
46', Diallo B. ↓, Hormigo D. ↑,
46', Ochieng J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
50', 5 - 2, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Gorosabel G. (A),
54', Alcaraz R. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
54', Faye S. ↓, Arnaiz J. M. ↑,
57', Orobengoa E. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
60', Casadesus P. 🟨,
65', Carbonell T. 🟨,
75', Pascual J. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
77', Rodriguez M. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
79', Casadesus P. ↓, Williams L. ↑,
86', Gorosabel G. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Granada have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Sociedad B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Granada is the team to beat.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Beitia L. (Inactive) Kita K. (International duty) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Huesca - Granada	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Granada - Leganés	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Málaga - Granada	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Granada - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLTL
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Real Sociedad B - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Eibar - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Real Sociedad B - Cádiz	3:3 ✺
29.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Almería	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLTT

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