Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Granada B		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.9	2.95	2.5	Watch
	2.99	3.03	2.56
	2.99	3.03	2.5
	2.95	2.93	2.51
	2.85	2.95	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.55)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
32%

Draw
31.1%

Mérida AD
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

31.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Granada B - Mérida AD Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tristan P. (G) 2. Castro R. 34. Naasei Oppong O. 4. Van Rijn N. 3. Brau M. 10. Perez C. 20. Clavijo D. 7. Gonzalez M. 8. Lendinez J. 30. Rodelas S. 9. Julito	1. Juanpa (G) 14. Beneit R. 22. Bourdal T. 4. Bonaque M. 21. Llacer L. 23. Rodriguez D. 5. Acosta L. 15. Juanjo 7. Sandoval D. 9. Chuma 11. Mizzian M.
Substitutes
27. Alonso Fontes M. D. 25. Arbol F. (G) 5. Bosch M. 26. Cantal P. 17. Estacio X. 16. Griger A. 18. Gutierrez E. 19. Ibarrondo A. 6. Masllorens J. 29. Mortimer N. 15. Sangare L.	20. Elejalde I. 12. Falcon E. 6. Gutierrez I. 16. Martin J. 2. Midon D. 8. Ndongo N. 3. Prada R. 10. Serra D. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Sandoval D. ⚽,
29', Rodelas S. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Mizzian M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castro R. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
46', Perez C. ↓, Cantal P. ↑,
46', Bonaque M. 🟨,
51', Llacer L. 🟨,
60', Mizzian M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
60', Llacer L. ↓, Midon D. ↑,
64', Lendinez J. 🟨,
67', Rodelas S. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
67', Julito ↓, Griger A. ↑,
76', Acosta L. 🟨,
78', Chuma ↓, Ndongo N. ↑,
78', Juanjo ↓, Prada R. ↑,
84', Griger A. 🟨,
85', Sandoval D. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
86', Naasei Oppong O. ↓, Alonso Fontes M. D. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada B won 2.

Granada B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Granada B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Granada B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.03.24	Real Murcia - Granada B	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Granada B - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Melilla - Granada B	4:3 ✺
10.03.24	Granada B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Algeciras - Granada B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLLT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.03.24	Mérida AD - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
24.03.24	Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.24	Mérida AD - Granada B	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.02.20	Mérida AD - Granada B	1:1
29.09.19	Granada B - Mérida AD	0:2
21.01.18	Mérida AD - Granada B	0:2
02.09.17	Granada B - Mérida AD	1:0
28.01.17	Granada B - Mérida AD	3:0
11.09.16	Mérida AD - Granada B	1:0

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