Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grantham Town		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.45	2.19
	3.56	4.09	1.85
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.85	3.6	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.58)	3.59 ↑ (3.38)	2.15 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grantham Town
31.8%

Draw
25.6%

Morpeth Town
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

19.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grantham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grantham Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grantham Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morpeth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grantham Town - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Grantham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morpeth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grantham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grantham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grantham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grantham Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.02.22	Grantham Town - Witton Albion	2:3 ✺
15.02.22	Grantham Town - Ashton United	4:3 ✺
08.02.22	Matlock Town - Grantham Town	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Warrington Town - Grantham Town	3:3 ✺
01.02.22	Lancaster City - Grantham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LWTTT
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.02.22	Warrington Town - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
19.02.22	Morpeth Town - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.02.22	York City - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
08.02.22	Morpeth Town - South Shields	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Morpeth Town - Nantwich Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
06.11.21	Morpeth Town - Grantham Town	2:1
19.09.20	Morpeth Town - Grantham Town	1:1
14.12.19	Grantham Town - Morpeth Town	1:2

Grantham Town - Morpeth Town

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Grantham Town - Morpeth Town Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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