Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	York City		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.8	4.6
	1.65	3.75	4.2
	1.71	3.89	4.49
	1.63	3.8	4.2
	1.69	4.05	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.41)	3.86 ↓ (4.8)	4.41 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
55.5%

Draw
23.7%

Morpeth Town
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

11.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that York City's form might have worsened.

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morpeth Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

York City - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches York is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morpeth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Morpeth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Morpeth have a series of home games.

In this match York is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches York won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League North
09.02.22	Bradford Park Avenue - York City	2:4 ✺
05.02.22	Blyth Spartans - York City	0:3 ✺
29.01.22	York City - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
25.01.22	York City - Bradford Park Avenue	0:3 ✺
22.01.22	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTLL
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.02.22	Morpeth Town - South Shields	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Morpeth Town - Nantwich Town	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Basford United - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
25.01.22	Morpeth Town - Stalybridge Celtic	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Morpeth Town - Buxton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
19.10.21	Morpeth Town - York City	1:3
16.10.21	York City - Morpeth Town	1:1

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