Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday


	Grantham Town		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.41	3.3	2.55
	2.53	3.66	2.53
	2.4	3.2	2.62
	2.41	3.48	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.85)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	2.59 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grantham Town
37.8%

Draw
27%

Ashton United
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

19.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grantham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grantham Town's performance.

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ashton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grantham Town than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grantham Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ashton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grantham Town - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grantham won 0.

Grantham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ashton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Grantham have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Grantham won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Grantham won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grantham Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.02.22	Matlock Town - Grantham Town	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Warrington Town - Grantham Town	3:3 ✺
01.02.22	Lancaster City - Grantham Town	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Grantham Town - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Grantham Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TTTLL
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
12.02.22	Basford United - Ashton United	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Ashton United - Witton Albion	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	0:0 ✺
01.02.22	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.09.21	Ashton United - Grantham Town	2:2
01.10.19	Grantham Town - Ashton United	0:4
05.05.18	Ashton United - Grantham Town	2:0
23.12.17	Grantham Town - Ashton United	1:1
19.08.17	Ashton United - Grantham Town	2:1
28.01.17	Grantham Town - Ashton United	2:1
11.10.16	Ashton United - Grantham Town	4:3

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