Match Info

Date: 1 February 2022, Tuesday


	Lancaster City		Grantham Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.6
	1.59	3.75	4.7
	1.64	3.98	4.94
	1.57	3.7	5
	1.59	3.92	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)	3.91 ↓ (4.32)	4.86 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
57.9%

Draw
23.3%

Grantham Town
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

20.9%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

17%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Grantham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lancaster City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grantham Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Lancaster City - Grantham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Lancaster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grantham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lancaster is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Lancaster won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
29.01.22	Lancaster City - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Ashton United - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	0:3 ✺
01.01.22	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	0:0 ✺
27.12.21	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWTL
- Grantham Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.01.22	Grantham Town - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Grantham Town	2:0 ✺
08.01.22	Grantham Town - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
01.01.22	Basford United - Grantham Town	0:1 ✺
27.12.21	Grantham Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.08.21	Grantham Town - Lancaster City	2:7
17.10.20	Grantham Town - Lancaster City	2:4
11.01.20	Grantham Town - Lancaster City	0:3
14.09.19	Lancaster City - Grantham Town	3:3
06.04.19	Lancaster City - Grantham Town	1:1
13.10.18	Grantham Town - Lancaster City	0:2
10.04.18	Lancaster City - Grantham Town	3:1

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