Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 4

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 2
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	05:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	20:45	DAZN, RTL
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	15:45	Disney+, SporTV 2
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 2
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	20:45	RTL, RTL+
Greece	21:45	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	20:45	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
India	00:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	01:45	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Italy	20:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	02:45	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Paraguay	15:45	ESPN 2
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub 4
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV, SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	02:45	ELTA Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2, Tubi TV
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Greece		Germany

	1	X	2
	4.00	4.00	1.80
	4.10	3.80	1.78
	4.20	3.85	1.76
	4.47	4.00	1.80
	4.16	3.98	1.85	Watch
	4.40	3.95	1.75
	4.31	4.05	1.78	Watch
	3.90	3.80	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.4)	3.93 ↑ (3.4)	1.79 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greece
22.7%

Draw
24.2%

Germany
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greece has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Germany's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	19.3%	73.7%

Greece - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Greece will win (votes: 4 - 7.1%). Germany will win (votes: 42 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 63.7% – 86.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Germany (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 - Germany (10.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - draw (3.91) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Germany (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tzolakis K. (G) Hull City 17. Saliakas M. Olympiacos Piraeus 4. Mavropanos K. West Ham 3. Koulierakis K. AS Roma 21. Tsimikas K. Liverpool 7. Masouras G. (C) Neom SC 6. Kourbelis D. Asteras Tripolis 20. Zafeiris C. PAOK 23. Kyziridis A. Corum FK 14. Pavlidis V. Benfica 8. Ioannidis F. Sporting CP	1. Urbig J. (G) Bayern Munich 13. Treu P. Freiburg 2. Thiaw M. Newcastle Utd 3. Anton W. Dortmund 22. Raum D. RB Leipzig 15. Karl L. Bayern Munich 5. Pavlovic A. Bayern Munich 8. Bischof T. Bayern Munich 9. Scherhant D. Freiburg 17. Wirtz F. (C) Liverpool 10. Burkardt J. Eintracht Frankfurt
Substitutes
15. Androutsos A. OFI Crete 9. Douvikas A. Como 19. Karetsas K. Dortmund 11. Kostoulas C. Brighton 22. Kyriakopoulos G. Panathinaikos 13. Mandas C. (G) Lazio 18. Michailidis G. PAOK 16. Mouzakitis C. Hull City 10. Pelkas D. PAOK 5. Retsos P. Olympiacos Piraeus 2. Tsapras T. Panathinaikos 1. Vlachodimos O. (G) Sevilla	21. Atubolu N. (G) Eintracht Frankfurt 16. Baku R. RB Leipzig 14. Baur M. Celtic 19. Conte B. Hoffenheim 12. Dahmen F. (G) Augsburg 7. El Mala S. 1. FC Koln 6. Engelhardt Y. Freiburg 23. Janelt V. Brentford 4. Jeltsch F. VfB Stuttgart 20. Keidel F. Elversberg 18. Mittelstadt M. VfB Stuttgart 11. Woltemade N. Juventus
Coaches
Jovanovic I.	Klopp J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Tsimikas K. 🟨,
36', Anton W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kyziridis A. ↓, Androutsos A. ↑,
46', Pavlidis V. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
53', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
64', Karl L. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
64', Burkardt J. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
66', Treu P. 🟨,
69', Kourbelis D. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
73', Jovanovic I. 🟨,
79', Mavropanos K. ↓, Retsos P. ↑,
83', Bischof T. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
83', Scherhant D. ↓, Baur M. ↑,
88', Ioannidis F. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
90', Thiaw M. 🟨,

Preview

Greece is ranked FIFA: 46., and Germany is ranked FIFA: 12..

Germany carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Greece: Giannoulis D. (Inactive) Hatzidiakos P. (Inactive) Konstantelias G. (Knee Injury) Tzolis C. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Germany: Gnabry S. (Rest) Goretzka L. (Knee Injury) Gruda B. (Muscle Injury) Havertz K. (Muscle Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Greece has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

Germany: 6.99% Greece: 3.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greece
UEFA Nations League
01.10.26	Greece - Netherlands	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Germany - Greece	0:1 ✺
24.09.26	Serbia - Greece	1:2 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Greece - Italy	0:1 ✺
04.06.26	Sweden - Greece	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 TWWLT
- Germany
UEFA Nations League
01.10.26	Germany - Serbia	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Germany - Greece	0:1 ✺
24.09.26	Netherlands - Germany	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
29.06.26	Germany - Paraguay	1:2 penalties ✺
25.06.26	Ecuador - Germany	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
27.09.26	Germany - Greece	0:1
Friendly
07.06.24	Germany - Greece	2:1
UEFA Euro
22.06.12	Germany - Greece	4:2

Greece - Germany