Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 9

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Frank Holohan Soccer Complex (Dandenong)


	Dandenong City		Green Gully

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.2	Watch
	2.09	3.51	3.32
	1.36	4.87	7.38	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.14	3.44	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.65 ↓ (3.71)	4.05 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong City
49.8%

Draw
26.4%

Green Gully
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

23.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Green Gully has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandenong City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Green Gully could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dandenong City - Green Gully Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dandenong City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Green Gully will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Waring P. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Cuba D. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Waring P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 2.

In recent matches, Dandenong City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Green Gully is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dandenong City might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong City won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
11.04.26	Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Dandenong City - Hume City	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dandenong City - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTLT
- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
11.04.26	Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Altona Magic - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Green Gully - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
13.06.25	Dandenong City - Green Gully	0:0
07.03.25	Green Gully - Dandenong City	0:5
05.07.24	Green Gully - Dandenong City	2:3
05.04.24	Dandenong City - Green Gully	1:1
11.06.22	Dandenong City - Green Gully	1:4
11.03.22	Green Gully - Dandenong City	1:0
16.04.21	Dandenong City - Green Gully	1:1

Dandenong City - Green Gully: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide