Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Greenock Morton		Queens Park

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3.25	2.55
	2.59	3.35	2.59	Watch
	2.49	3.18	2.49
	2.5	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.59)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
36%

Draw
28.1%

Queens Park
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Greenock Morton - Queens Park Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 9th in the Championship (Relegation) and 10th in the Relegation - League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 1.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Queens Park could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Greenock has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:20 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Greenock against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 16:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Morton: 0.53% Queen's Park: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4
10	Queen's Park	9	1	1	7	4:15	-11	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
10.10.26	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Inverness - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Greenock Morton - Livingston	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL
- Queens Park FC
Scottish Football Championship
10.10.26	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Arbroath - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Queens Park - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
05.09.26	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	2:1
18.04.26	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	0:0
21.02.26	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	3:2
05.12.25	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	2:1
13.09.25	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	0:0
22.03.25	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	2:1
25.01.25	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	1:2

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