Match Info

Championship - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Grenock Morton


	Airdrieonians		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3	2.65
	2.38	3.1	2.92	Watch
	2.39	3.1	3.24
	2.5	3.09	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.38	3.28	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.43)	3.1 ↑ (3.09)	2.96 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
39%

Draw
29.8%

Greenock Morton
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Greenock will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Greenock (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 50%). Greenock (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Stone H. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 16. Ross C. 12. McArthur C. 3. Strapp L. 6. McMaster D. (C) 15. Thomas D. 18. Barjonas J. 17. McGrattan L. 42. Stirton O. 11. Henderson E.	31. Johnson M. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 27. Wilson I. 26. Lopata-White R. 3. Delaney Z. 7. Moffat O. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 17. MacPherson C. 18. Garrity M. 29. O'Halloran M. 9. Main C.
Substitutes
25. Constable S. 8. Gallagher G. 33. Hastie J. 10. Mahon R. 4. McGinty S. 24. McKinnon C. 20. Melrose C. (G) 7. Mochrie C. R. 23. Telfer Ch.	20. Comrie A. 11. Crawford A. 24. Lyall A. 6. Moore K. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 28. Murphy L. 25. Owens F. 22. Shaw N. 12. Taylor K.
Coaches
Taylor-Sinclair A.	Murray I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Garrity M. ⚽, Wilson I. (A),
13', O'Halloran M. ↓, Lyall A. ↑,
16', 1 - 1, Thomas D. ⚽, McArthur C. (A),
36', Ballantyne C. 🟥,
40', Lyall A. ↓, Comrie A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Thomas D. ⚽, Stirton O. (A),
66', Gillespie G. 🟨,
71', Stirton O. ↓, Mochrie C. R. ↑,
71', Barjonas J. ↓, McKinnon C. ↑,
71', Thomas D. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,
72', Lopata-White R. ↓, Owens F. ↑,
74', McArthur C. 🟨,
75', Comrie A. 🟨,
79', Mochrie C. R. 🟨,
81', McMaster D. 🟨,
81', Main C. 🟥,
83', Henderson E. ↓, Constable S. ↑,
84', McGrattan L. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, McArthur C. ⚽, McMaster D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 1.

Airdrieonians has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Greenock has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Greenock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Morton: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4

Last Results with these Odds

Airdrieonians - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
25.02.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
21.02.26	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Airdrieonians - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
06.02.26	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren	1:2 ET ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.02.26	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLLW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
21.02.26	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Greenock Morton - Ross County	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
13.12.25	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	0:1
04.10.25	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	1:2
19.04.25	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	0:1
15.02.25	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	2:2
14.12.24	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	2:2
21.09.24	Greenock Morton - Airdrieonians	2:0
06.04.24	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	3:1

Upcoming Matches