Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Tony Macaroni Arena (Livingston)


	Livingston		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.6	3.75	5.5
	1.58	3.95	5.85
	1.59	3.82	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.54	3.9	5.66	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	3.86 ↑ (3.71)	5.6 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
59.4%

Draw
24%

Hamilton Academical
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Livingston - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hamilton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 12. Brandon J. (C) 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 11. Fraser R. 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 6. McAlear R. 23. Muirhead R. 17. May S. 26. Montano C.	1. Albinson C. (G) 14. Maguire B. 5. McGinty S. 15. Lamie R. 22. Tumilty R. 10. Barjonas J. 8. Martin S. (C) 33. Hendrie S. 13. Smith C. 19. Shaw O. 16. MacDonald K.
Substitutes
3. Clarke M. 36. Culbert S. 19. Finlayson D. 40. Lawal S. 35. Myles E. (G) 21. Nottingham M. 22. Shinnie A. 15. Smith L. 20. Ubochioma M.	11. Bradley S. 7. Henderson E. 3. Longridge J. 21. Lyness D. (G) 6. McGowan D. 24. McKinstry S. 23. O'Conchubhair D. 9. O'Hara K. 18. Todorov N.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Rankin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Muirhead R. ⚽, Montano C. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Montano C. ⚽, Pittman S. (A),
41', McGowan R. 🟨,
41', Martin S. 🟨,
45', Wilson D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', MacDonald K. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
64', Montano C. ↓, Ubochioma M. ↑,
64', McAlear R. ↓, Finlayson D. ↑,
67', Maguire B. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
72', Muirhead R. 🟨,
72', Tait M. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
85', Martin S. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
85', Smith C. ↓, McKinstry S. ↑,
86', May S. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Smith L. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Livingston won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Livingston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hamilton have a series of home games.

In this match Livingston is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Livingston won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26:21 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Livingston won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Ross County - Livingston	2:3 ET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
14.01.25	Livingston - Airdrieonians	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Queens Park - Livingston	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Raith Rovers - Livingston	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Livingston - Ayr United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Hamilton Academical - Musselburgh Athletic	3:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
10.01.25	Hamilton Academical - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Hamilton Academical - Airdrieonians	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
09.11.24	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	1:3
14.09.24	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	3:0
Scottish League Cup
22.07.23	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
13.03.21	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	2:1
23.12.20	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	0:2
12.09.20	Livingston - Hamilton Academical	1:2
25.01.20	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	2:4

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