The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Hamilton Academical 20.4%
Draw 24.4%
Ayr United 55.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
27.4%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
26.7%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamilton Academical's form might have worsened.
Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayr United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayr United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
0%
90%
Hamilton Academical - Ayr United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ayr United will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Lyness D. (G) 6. McGowan D. 5. McGinty S. (C) 3. Longridge J. 11. Bradley S. 13. Smith C. 16. MacDonald K. 14. Maguire B. 33. Hendrie S. 18. Todorov N. 9. O'Hara K.
31. Stone H. (G) 14. Stanger G. 26. Agbaire L. 33. McMann S. 32. Watret D. 10. McLennan C. 8. Dempsey B. (C) 15. Murphy J. 3. Reading P. 17. Henderson J. 9. Oakley G.
Substitutes
1. Albinson C. (G) 30. Gallacher T. 7. Henderson E. 15. Lamie R. 8. Martin S. 24. McKinstry S. 19. Shaw O. 22. Tumilty R.
5. Devlin M. 16. Hastie J. 22. McKenzie M. 36. McKinnon C. 25. Mitchell K. 4. Musonda F. 1. Mutch R. (G) 23. Rus M.
Coaches
Rankin J.
Brown S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', McMann S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Murphy J. ↓, McKinnon C. ↑,
56', Henderson J. ↓, Rus M. ↑,
56', Watret D. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
72', Todorov N. ↓, Shaw O. ↑,
77', Reading P. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, McKenzie M. ⚽, Hastie J. (A),
82', Longridge J. ↓, Lamie R. ↑,
82', Bradley S. ↓, Tumilty R. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Stanger G. ⚽,
85', Hendrie S. ↓, McKinstry S. ↑,
85', O'Hara K. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 0.
Recent matches Hamilton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ayr in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Hamilton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Hamilton have a series of home games.
In this match Ayr is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12:22 (average 0.8:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.6:1.5).