The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves 54.1%
Draw 23.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
26%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.5%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chattanooga Red Wolves's performance.
Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chattanooga Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 23. Lelin Y. 66. Knapp M. 4. Vaughan J. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 7. Hernandez O. 10. Bentley M. 14. Hernandez P. (C)
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 44. Faye S. 22. Evans B. 26. Hata E. 11. Kamara J. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 10. Wright O. 98. Kidd M. 9. Camara A. 16. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
33. Ayimbila J. 15. Clapier D. 12. Jerez R. (G) 30. Lombardi A. 17. Tapia O. 6. Wessels W.
24. Felipe 21. Georgallides K. 66. Green K. 2. Jones-Riley J. 70. Kunga L. 4. Letayf D. 23. Oladapo K. (G)
Coaches
MacKenzie S.
Murphy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Wright O. ↓, Felipe ↑,
22', Knapp M. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Felipe ⚽, Kidd M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Knapp M. ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
59', Bentley M. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
60', Vaughan J. ↓, Clapier D. ↑,
65', Camara A. ↓, Letayf D. ↑,
76', Wessels W. 🟨,
80', Kamara J. ↓, Kunga L. ↑,
80', Gonzalez D. ↓, Green K. ↑,
80', Hata E. ↓, Jones-Riley J. ↑,
83', Ramos J. ↓, Ayimbila J. ↑,
83', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Tapia O. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Hernandez O. ⚽, Tapia O. (A),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 11th).
Chattanooga has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hearts of Pine has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chattanooga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Chattanooga for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Chattanooga has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chattanooga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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Smith J. (G) 
Ramos J. 
Lelin Y. 
Vaughan J. 
Kelly-Rosales A. 
Faye S. 
Hata E. 
Kamara J. 
Poon-Angeron M. (C) 
Camara A. 
Ayimbila J. 
Jerez R. (G) 
Wessels W. 
Felipe 
Georgallides K. 
Green K. 
Letayf D. 
MacKenzie S. 
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