Match Info

USL League One

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Greenville Triumph		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.55	3.5
	1.95	3.43	3.74
	4.33	3.67	1.75	Watch
	1.95	3.59	3.59
	1.89	3.62	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.84)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	3.2 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
41.4%

Draw
27.7%

South Georgia Tormenta
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greenville Triumph's form might have worsened.

South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Georgia Tormenta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greenville Triumph, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Georgia Tormenta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rankenburg G. (G) 18. Evans C. 42. Bubb Z. 5. Fricke B. (C) 4. Patti A. 23. Agyaakwah I. 8. Herrera C. 29. Robles R. 21. Soto E. 77. Benton D. 25. Castro L.	1. Pack A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 23. Rasheed M. 15. Malou J. 3. Gabriel Alves 22. Doyle C. (C) 8. Gabriel Cabral 58. Jimenez O. 19. Bazini Y. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 9. Vivas S.
Substitutes
6. Anguiano C. 80. Blinzler A. (G) 11. Corvino P. 12. Lee E. 19. Marsh C. 20. Mensah R. 3. Polak T. 30. Torman S. (G) 7. Zakowski B.	29. Gottlieb B. 10. Gray T. 13. Jones S. (G) 26. Kasanzu J. 4. Nare T. 11. Nyandjo J. 17. Pray K. 16. Tunbridge M. 28. Walker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Bubb Z. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Bazini Y. ⚽, Vivas S. (A),
25', Soto E. ↓, Corvino P. ↑,
32', Reid-Stephen N. 🟨,
44', Stretch C. ↓, Kasanzu J. ↑,
45+12', Patti A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Corvino P. ↓, Marsh C. ↑,
46', Patti A. ↓, Polak T. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Rasheed M. ⚽, Jimenez O. (A),
58', Fricke B. 🟨,
59', Wright R. 🟨,
62', Jimenez O. 🟨,
66', 0 - 3, Vivas S. ⚽, Reid-Stephen N. (A),
71', Agyaakwah I. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
71', Vivas S. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
71', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
76', Jimenez O. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
76', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Walker A. ↑,
80', Walker A. 🟨,
81', 1 - 3, Marsh C. ⚽,
84', Bubb Z. 🟨,
85', 1 - 4, Nyandjo J. ⚽,
88', Gabriel Alves ↓, Nare T. ↑,
90+2', Nare T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 2.

Recent performances by Greenville have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tormenta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Greenville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Greenville could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:37. (average 1.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
11.10.25	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWWL
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
11.10.25	Spokane Velocity - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Westchester SC	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	AV Alta - South Georgia Tormenta	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
13.09.25	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2
02.08.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	2:2
USL Cup
26.04.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	2:1
USL League One
26.10.24	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	5:1
USL Cup
09.06.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	1:3
11.05.24	Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2
USL League One
21.04.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	0:3

Upcoming Matches