Match Info

USA: USL LEAGUE ONE

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Greenville Triumph		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.5	3.1
	2.1	3.51	3.23
	2.01	3.6	3.22	Watch
	2.06	3.45	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.31)	3.52 ↑ (3.51)	3.16 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
44.9%

Draw
26.1%

North Carolina
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Greenville Triumph - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Mazzola J. (G) 4. Smith J. 15. Fricke B. 12. Lee E. 24. Shaw T. 8. Walker A. (C) 11. Boyce D. 18. Labovitz J. 5. Pilato N. 23. Gavilanes A. 25. Castro L.	31. Thompson B. (G) 2. Young C. 24. Garcia D. 6. Fernandes G. 3. Blanco N. 13. Perez L. 15. Maldonado M. 14. Mentzingen R. 10. Servania J. 19. McLaughlin G. (C) 9. Anderson O.
Substitutes
10. Coutinho L. 19. Evans V. 13. Franke N. 9. MacKinnon L. 31. Rankenburg G. (G) 22. Shultz N. 2. Wu D.	7. Arriaga L. 18. Benton D. 22. Flick M. 59. Ntalu N. 88. Popp P. 99. Puckerin M. (G) 12. Saunders T. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greenville won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

North Carolina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Greenville will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Greenville won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Greenville won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
01.09.23	Lexington - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
23.08.23	Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Greenville Triumph	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWTL
- North Carolina FC
USL League One
06.09.23	Union Omaha - North Carolina	4:3 ✺
02.09.23	North Carolina - Central Valley Fuego	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	North Carolina - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Richmond Kickers - North Carolina	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
12.08.23	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	2:1
29.04.23	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	1:2
29.06.22	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	3:1
21.05.22	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	1:0
16.04.22	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	1:1
30.10.21	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	0:2
10.07.21	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	0:0

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