Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Future Legends Complex (Windsor, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Northern Colorado Hailstorm		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.87	3.6	3.75
	1.76	3.99	4.76
	1.62	3.91	4.65	Watch
	1.73	3.54	4.26	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.22)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	4.3 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Colorado Hailstorm
53.2%

Draw
25.2%

Greenville Triumph
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

23.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Colorado Hailstorm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northern Colorado Hailstorm's performance.

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greenville Triumph might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Colorado Hailstorm than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northern Colorado Hailstorm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greenville Triumph could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado E. (G) 27. Rendon B. 4. Garcia D. 2. Evans B. 13. Opara L. 6. Dietrich J. (C) 15. Langlois P. 7. Gill R. 30. Martinez I. 19. King B. 20. Hoard E.	23. Garner C. (G) 4. Smith J. 2. Wu D. 5. Fricke B. (C) 3. Polak T. 12. Lee E. 16. Corvino P. 6. Anguiano C. 20. Anderson H. 7. Zakowski B. 9. MacKinnon L.
Substitutes
47. Clarke M. 5. Fenwick J. 55. Godzieski C. 11. Hernandez M. 23. Keegan J. 8. Kwakwa E. 57. Parks J. 34. Robles D. 12. Shealy R. (G)	19. Gabo H. 15. Hald O. 1. Rankenburg G. (G) 17. Scarlett Z. 22. Shultz N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Martinez I. ⚽, King B. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Gill R. ⚽,
45+3', Hoard E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Anderson H. ↓, Scarlett Z. ↑,
56', King B. 🟨,
63', Dietrich J. ↓, Kwakwa E. ↑,
63', Gill R. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Hoard E. ⚽, Opara L. (A),
73', Wu D. 🟨,
74', Wu D. ↓, Gabo H. ↑,
74', Zakowski B. ↓, Shultz N. ↑,
75', Rendon B. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
75', Martinez I. ↓, Clarke M. ↑,
82', King B. ↓, Keegan J. ↑,
84', Corvino P. ↓, Hald O. ↑,
86', Hernandez M. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Colorado Hailstorm
USL League One
17.08.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
13.08.24	Spokane Velocity - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:3 ✺
USL League One
03.08.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
27.07.24	Forward Madison - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
19.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWWW
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
16.08.24	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
10.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
USL League One
27.07.24	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
20.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph	0:2 ✺
USL League One
13.07.24	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
06.04.24	Greenville Triumph - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	3:1
29.09.23	Greenville Triumph - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:2
19.08.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Greenville Triumph	0:0
24.09.22	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Greenville Triumph	1:1
27.08.22	Greenville Triumph - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:2
25.06.22	Greenville Triumph - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	2:1

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