Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free


	Grenoble		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.08
	3.55	3.5	2.16
	3.43	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.1
	3.42	3.34	2.1	Watch
	3.33	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.07)	3.38 ↑ (3.13)	2.08 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
27.7%

Draw
27.5%

Montpellier
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	38.5%	23.1%

Grenoble - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 12% – 65%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Grenoble (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Allain B. (G) 17. Delos S. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 24. Mouyokolo L. 26. Mion M. 33. Sarikaya E. 25. Valls T. 8. Benet J. 11. Bangre M. 7. Diaby Y. 2. Djitte M.	31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 27. Omeragic B. (C) 6. Jullien C. 21. Mincarelli L. 44. Chennahi T. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 7. Mbuku N. 11. Savanier T. 14. Orakpo V. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
30. Diba S. 23. Elphege N. 18. Mbock H. 1. Pattier M. (G) 5. Vidal C. 27. Xantippe M. 19. Zahui N.	37. Da Silva L. 38. Ebener A. 3. El Hannach N. 1. Michel M. (G) 23. Mouanga Y. 24. Ndiaye J. 18. Pays N.
Coaches
Rizzetto F.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Savanier T. ⚽, Mbuku N. (A),
63', Mion M. ↓, Xantippe M. ↑,
63', Djitte M. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
63', Bangre M. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
78', Diaby Y. ↓, Zahui N. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Elphege N. ⚽, Zahui N. (A),
86', Chennahi T. 🟨,
87', Sarikaya E. ↓, Vidal C. ↑,
89', Chennahi T. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,
90', Orakpo V. ↓, Pays N. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

Grenoble is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montpellier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grenoble may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Montpellier could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Grenoble: Mambo S. (Inactive) Mouazan B. (Inactive) N'Gatta A. L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Laporte J. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grenoble: Djitte M. (Injury) Xantippe M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Sainte-Luce T. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
05.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.11.25	Annecy - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Boulogne - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
14.11.25	Olympique de Villefontaine - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWW
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
06.12.25	Montpellier - Pau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Montceau Bourgogne - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
24.11.25	Reims - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
16.11.25	Agde - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Montpellier - Annecy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWW

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