Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Boulogne		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.05	3.25
	2.48	3.2	2.99
	2.42	3.14	2.94	Watch
	2.23	3.12	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.42)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
40.4%

Draw
30%

Grenoble
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	23.1%	46.2%

Boulogne - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Grenoble will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Grenoble (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Grenoble (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kone I. (G) 18. Thiam D. 15. Pinot A. 5. Zohore N. (C) 3. Burlet V. 21. Platret A. 14. Bultel J. 19. Binet N. 12. Boyer J. 17. Fatou C. 23. Fatar N.	13. Diop M. (G) 17. Delos S. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 5. Vidal C. 4. Mambo S. 27. Xantippe M. 25. Valls T. 30. Diba S. 8. Benet J. 19. Zahui N. 23. Elphege N.
Substitutes
22. Duflos S. 10. El Farissi A. 25. Gourville S. 11. Keita S. 33. Kouassi E. 27. Mpembele Boula E. 30. Uriev A. (G)	16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 7. Diaby Y. 2. Djitte M. 18. Mbock H. 26. Mion M. 24. Mouyokolo L.
Coaches
Dagneaux F.	Rizzetto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Benet J. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pinot A. ↓, Gourville S. ↑,
57', Paquiez G. 🟨,
63', Zahui N. ↓, Diaby Y. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Fatou C. (Pen),
71', Fatar N. ↓, El Farissi A. ↑,
76', Diba S. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
77', Elphege N. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Platret A. ⚽, El Farissi A. (A),
82', 3 - 1, Burlet V. ⚽, El Farissi A. (A),
85', Xantippe M. ↓, Mion M. ↑,
86', Benet J. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
86', Boyer J. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
87', Platret A. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
89', Fatou C. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
90', Keita S. 🟨,
90+5', Diaby Y. 🟨,
90+5', Keita S. 🟨,
90+5', Bultel J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 10).

Boulogne is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Grenoble is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boulogne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Martin J. (Injury) Siliadin L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Boulogne: Capuano G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Grenoble: Mouyokolo L. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Dunkerque - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Annecy - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Boulogne - Reims	2:6 ✺
24.10.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Boulogne - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLLT
- Grenoble Foot 38
Coupe De France
14.11.25	Olympique de Villefontaine - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amiens - Grenoble	2:3 ✺
28.10.25	Grenoble - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Red Star - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
19.01.18	Grenoble - Boulogne	1:2
18.08.17	Boulogne - Grenoble	0:1
Coupe De France
21.01.15	Boulogne - Grenoble	1:0

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