Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Montpellier		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5	Watch
	1.63	3.70	5.25
	1.62	3.45	5.3	Watch
	1.65	3.83	5.49
	1.64	3.8	5.1	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.35
	1.63	3.78	5.23	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)	5.22 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
56.9%

Draw
25.4%

Grenoble
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Montpellier - Grenoble Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 13th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Montpellier could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Montpellier for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montpellier against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46% Grenoble: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Reims - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Montpellier - Pau	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLTW
- Grenoble Foot 38
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Grenoble - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Grenoble - Clermont	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Rodez - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Grenoble - Annecy	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Laval - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.04.26	Montpellier - Grenoble	2:1
13.12.25	Grenoble - Montpellier	1:1

Montpellier - Grenoble: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide