The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valenciennes 47.1%
Draw 29.2%
Niort 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
30.4%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
29.2%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valenciennes's performance.
Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niort might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valenciennes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niort could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
12.5%
6.2%
Valenciennes - Niort Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Niort will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Valenciennes: 62.2% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
Valenciennes has the most likely position - 15 (16.5%), project points - 42, currently - 33, a chance of relegated (31%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
Niort has the most likely position - 20 (71.29%), project points - 33, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (97%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has small quality23, importance39, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 2.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Valenciennes will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.