The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niort 32.9%
Draw 31.6%
Laval 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
31.2%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
30%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Laval aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
41.7%
16.7%
Niort - Laval Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Laval will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Niort: 13.8% โ 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).
Niort has the most likely position - 20 (62.45%), project points - 33, currently - 23, a good chance of relegated (95%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Laval has the most likely position - 16 (15.44%), project points - 43, currently - 31, a chance of relegated (38%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality23, importance40, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 1.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Niort won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.