Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Caen

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4	3.3	1.9
	4.5	3.4	1.8
	4.34	3.47	1.93
	3.8	3.2	2
	4.4	3.3	1.9	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (4.17)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
22.3%

Draw
28.1%

Caen
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.4%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

26.6%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Niort - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 6).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (68.88%), project points - 33, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of promoted.

Caen has the most likely position - 6 (24.98%), project points - 59, currently - 49, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, very small importance 7, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 2.

Niort is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Caen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Caen is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Niort won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Valenciennes - Niort	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Niort - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Saint-Étienne - Niort	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Niort - Laval	3:2 ✺
11.03.23	Pau - Niort	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Caen - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Quevilly - Caen	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Caen - Dijon	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Caen - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Rodez - Caen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Caen - Niort	1:0
28.01.22	Caen - Niort	0:2
31.07.21	Niort - Caen	0:1
13.02.21	Caen - Niort	1:0
17.10.20	Niort - Caen	3:0
04.02.20	Caen - Niort	4:3
23.08.19	Niort - Caen	1:1

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