Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Grenoble		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7	Watch
	2	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.36	4.07
	1.99	3.31	3.87	Watch
	2	3.1	3.7
	2.07	3.18	3.92	Watch
	2	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.03)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
46.5%

Draw
29.1%

Amiens
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Grenoble - Amiens Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Amiens (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Amiens (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Grenoble will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 4 - 50%). Amiens (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 27. Xantippe M. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 5. Vidal C. 24. Mouyokolo L. 26. Mion M. 10. Mouazan B. 8. Benet J. 9. Lallias A. 19. Zahui N. 7. Diaby Y.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 20. Kaiboue K. (C) 44. Louis C. 11. Averlant T. 6. Monconduit T. 15. Nduquidi J. 10. Kandil N. 19. Rafii Y. 14. Leautey A.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 6. Bernadou L. 17. Delos S. 2. Djitte M. 4. Mambo S. 20. Maurin E. 22. N'Gatta A. L.	77. Daf I. 7. Hamache I. 26. Ikia Dimi Y. 27. Lutin R. 21. Roussillon J. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 23. Traore A.
Coaches
Rizzetto F.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Lo A. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Benet J. ⚽, Mouyokolo L. (A),
35', Vidal C. 🟨,
45+1', Mouazan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Rafii Y. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
61', Louis C. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
68', Mouazan B. ↓, Bernadou L. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Kandil N. ⚽,
73', Xantippe M. 🟨,
73', Zahui N. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
73', Benet J. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
76', Kandil N. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Diaby Y. ⚽, Bangre M. (A),
83', Diaby Y. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
83', Lallias A. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
89', Nduquidi J. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
89', Leautey A. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
90+4', Kaiboue K. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 3.

Grenoble is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Amiens's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Grenoble might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Grenoble: Benet J. (Inactive) Diba S. (Red Card) Djitte M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Chabane A. (Yellow Cards) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Mlakar J. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Grenoble: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Grenoble	8	2	2	4	8:13	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
23.01.26	Pau - Grenoble	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Grenoble - Red Star	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Bastia - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.25	Grenoble - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLT
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
23.01.26	Amiens - Laval	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Annecy - Amiens	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Montreuil - Amiens	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Amiens - Nancy	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Le Havre - Amiens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.11.25	Amiens - Grenoble	2:3
14.02.25	Amiens - Grenoble	1:4
07.12.24	Grenoble - Amiens	0:2
17.05.24	Grenoble - Amiens	1:3
11.11.23	Amiens - Grenoble	1:2
01.04.23	Grenoble - Amiens	2:1
02.09.22	Amiens - Grenoble	1:0

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