Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Grenoble		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.82	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3	3.13	2.43	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	3.01	3.02	2.48	Watch
	2.9	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.89)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	2.44 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
31.8%

Draw
30.4%

Red Star
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	50%	14.3%

Grenoble - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 17. Delos S. 4. Mambo S. 5. Vidal C. 24. Mouyokolo L. (C) 27. Xantippe M. 11. Bangre M. 30. Diba S. 18. Mbock H. 19. Zahui N. 7. Diaby Y.	16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 27. Danger B. (C) 81. Haag G. 22. Sylla D. 25. Trani G. 3. Huard M. 11. Cisse K. 7. Durand D. 91. Cabral K.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 9. Lallias A. 20. Maurin E. 26. Mion M. 10. Mouazan B. 22. N'Gatta A. L. 33. Sarikaya E.	9. Ba P. M. 29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 5. Escartin J. 21. Hachem A. 98. Hachem R. 23. Ikanga J.
Coaches
Rizzetto F.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Diba S. 🟨,
22', Zahui N. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Cabral K. ⚽, Durand D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Diba S. 🟥,
68', Delos S. ↓, N'Gatta A. L. ↑,
68', Xantippe M. ↓, Mion M. ↑,
69', Bangre M. ↓, Mouazan B. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Trani G. ⚽, Durand D. (A),
74', Diaby Y. ↓, Lallias A. ↑,
74', Zahui N. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
75', Cabral K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
75', Durand D. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
81', Sylla D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
81', Danger B. ↓, Hachem R. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Benali H. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Cisse K. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
90+2', Mambo S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2.

Grenoble has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Red Star's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Grenoble: Diop M. (Injury) Djitte M. (Inactive) Elphege N. (Inactive) Mouazan B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Khaoui S. E. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Red Star: 4.92% Grenoble: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Bastia - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.25	Grenoble - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.11.25	Annecy - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTWW
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Troyes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Red Star - Reims	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Bastia - Red Star	Abandoned ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Biesheim - Red Star	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.25	Red Star - Clermont	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LT?LT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.10.25	Red Star - Grenoble	1:0
07.02.25	Grenoble - Red Star	0:0
14.12.24	Red Star - Grenoble	3:1
01.03.19	Grenoble - Red Star	2:0
28.09.18	Red Star - Grenoble	2:3
French Ligue 3
17.02.18	Red Star - Grenoble	0:1
09.09.17	Grenoble - Red Star	0:0

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