The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bastia 37.6%
Draw 31%
Red Star 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
30.2%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
29.2%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.
Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Star might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Star could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.6%
21.1%
47.4%
Bastia - Red Star Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Red Star will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 24.9% – 69.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 1 - 50%). Red Star (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Red Star (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Bastia (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Red Star (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 3 - 50%). Red Star (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 12. Zilliox N. 4. Roncaglia A. 3. Guevara J. 66. Janneh J. 13. Ducrocq T. 5. Ariss Z. 7. Vincent C. (C) 9. Tomi F. 14. Sebas J. 10. Boutrah A.
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 98. Hachem R. (C) 27. Danger B. 22. Sylla D. 81. Haag G. 91. Cabral K. 3. Huard M. 10. Khaoui S. E. 11. Cisse K. 7. Durand D.
Substitutes
25. Aiki A. 2. Basset D. 15. Bohnert F. 8. Karamoko I. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 33. Petrignani M. 18. Zaouai A.
29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 8. Eickmayer J. 21. Hachem A. 23. Ikanga J. 4. Kayi Sanda J. 25. Trani G.
Coaches
Ray R.
Poirier G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Vincent C. 🟨,
23', Durivaux D. 🟨,
31', Ray R. 🟨,
41', Khaoui S. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Red Star may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Knee Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Bohnert F.
(Inactive)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Ducrocq T.
(Injury)
Guevara J.
(Inactive)
Guidi D.
(Yellow Cards)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Guindo S.
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Bastia - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.99%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
France
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Placide J. (G) 
Zilliox N. 
Guevara J. 
Janneh J. 
Sebas J. 
Khaoui S. E. 
Bohnert F. 
Zaouai A. 
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