The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troyes 49.9%
Draw 28.6%
Red Star 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
28.3%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
27%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Troyes - Red Star Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Red Star will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 25.5% โ 74.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gambor H. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 17. Mille A. 5. Adeline M. 11. Detourbet M. 21. Bentayeb T.
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 27. Danger B. 81. Haag G. 22. Sylla D. 10. Khaoui S. E. 8. Eickmayer J. 11. Cisse K. 23. Ikanga J. 7. Durand D. (C)
Substitutes
15. Assoumou J. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 9. El Idrissy M. 12. Odede E. 26. Phliponeau A. 20. Ripart R. 44. Titi Y.
29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 21. Hachem A. 33. Halifa I. 3. Huard M. 25. Trani G.
Coaches
Dumont S.
Poirier G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Maronnier L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sylla D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
46', Ikanga J. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
58', Khaoui S. E. 🟨,
65', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
68', Detourbet M. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
80', Bentayeb T. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
80', Adeline M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
84', Cisse K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
90+4', Danger B. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 4.
Troyes is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Red Star is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Red Star may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Troyes has had a series of away games.
In this match, Troyes is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Troyes: El Idrissy M.
(Inactive)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Titi Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Red Star: Benali H.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Rabouille V.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Red Star: Hachem R.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).