Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Grenoble		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.4	5
	1.72	3.5	5	Watch
	1.74	3.61	5.61
	1.72	3.61	5.61
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.7	3.6	5.1	Watch
	1.72	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	5.2 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
55.1%

Draw
26.7%

Valenciennes
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

27.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

26.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Grenoble - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: Grenoble will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maubleu B. (C) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Monfray A. 14. Nestor L. 77. Mendy A. 10. Sylvestre E. 6. Rigo D. 8. Benet J. 2. Bamba 7. Ba P. M. 19. Joseph L.	16. Louchet J. (G) 5. Poha J. 44. Kayi Sanda J. 4. Moore T. (C) 15. Woudenberg L. 8. Banse S. 93. Knockaert A. 23. Kruse D. 34. Lilepo M. 17. Boutoutaou A. 10. Venema N.
Substitutes
13. Diop M. (G) 20. Isola B. 15. Jeno J. A. 29. Paquiez G. 17. Postolachi V. 11. Sbai A. 27. Xantippe M.	99. Basse S. 11. Bonnet U. 28. Bruno Costa 30. Diabate L. (G) 14. Diallo I. 20. Hamache I. 18. Jung A.
Coaches
Hognon V.	Maciel J.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 3.

Grenoble is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valenciennes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grenoble could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grenoble is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Grenoble won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
07.10.23	Guingamp - Grenoble	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Grenoble - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Caen - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Grenoble - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Dunkerque - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWWT
- Valenciennes FC
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Oostende - Valenciennes	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.10.23	Valenciennes - Troyes	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Laval - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Amiens - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.05.23	Valenciennes - Grenoble	1:0
22.10.22	Grenoble - Valenciennes	1:0
19.04.22	Grenoble - Valenciennes	3:0
20.11.21	Valenciennes - Grenoble	1:0
05.02.21	Valenciennes - Grenoble	0:1
03.10.20	Grenoble - Valenciennes	2:0
06.03.20	Grenoble - Valenciennes	1:3

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