Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free


	Caen		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	2.08	3.44	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	2.11	3.5	3.42	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
44.1%

Draw
28%

Grenoble
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	13.8%	62.1%

Caen - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Grenoble will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 27. Meddah D. 29. Thomas R. (C) 3. Bolumbu D. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 10. Brahimi B. 20. Lebreton N. 14. Rajot L. 7. Gomis T. 19. Mendy A.	13. Diop M. (G) 29. Paquiez G. (C) 24. Mouyokolo L. 4. Diarra M. 21. Tchaptchet A. 27. Xantippe M. 70. Touray S. 25. Valls T. 8. Benet J. 7. Ba P. M. 9. Kerouedan A.
Substitutes
16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 17. Kyeremeh G. 8. Le Bihan M. 50. Najim I. 25. Sy L. 39. Tome G.	16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 17. Delos S. 38. Jabbari A. 31. Mbemba N. 77. Mendy A. 10. Sylvestre E. 87. Zahui N.
Coaches
Baltazar B.	Gueguen F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Brahimi B. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Valls T. ⚽, Xantippe M. (A),
45+3', Mendy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bolumbu D. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
60', Henry V. 🟥,
63', Gomis T. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
67', Kerouedan A. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
68', Lebreton N. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
74', Xantippe M. 🟨,
75', Touray S. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
75', Xantippe M. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
75', Meddah D. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
85', Diarra M. 🟨,
87', Paquiez G. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
89', Mendy A. 🟥,
90+4', Gaucho Debohi D. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
90+10', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
90+10', Sylvestre E. 🟨,
90+11', Coulibaly K. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 1.

Caen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grenoble is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caen will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Caen: M'Vila Y. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Grenoble: Nestor L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Caen: Traore B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Caen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
03.01.25	Caen - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Guingamp - Caen	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
16.12.24	Dunkerque - Caen	3:1 ✺
06.12.24	Laval - Caen	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Caen - Rodez	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
03.01.25	Grenoble - Bastia	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Cannes - Grenoble	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.12.24	Red Star - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Grenoble - Amiens	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Istres - Grenoble	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.09.24	Grenoble - Caen	3:1
03.02.24	Grenoble - Caen	5:1
26.09.23	Caen - Grenoble	1:2
18.02.23	Caen - Grenoble	2:1
17.09.22	Grenoble - Caen	1:0
09.04.22	Grenoble - Caen	0:2
30.10.21	Caen - Grenoble	0:1

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