Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greuther Fürth		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.65	1.85	Watch
	4.16	3.85	1.9
	3.92	3.86	1.86	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.64	1.9	Watch
	4	3.66	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.42)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	1.86 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
24.2%

Draw
25.4%

Hertha Berlin
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

26%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

24.4%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	11.4%	74.3%

Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fürth (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hertha (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Schlieck T. (G) 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 27. Itter G. 23. Dehm J. 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 16. Keller A. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 9. Futkeu N.	1. Ernst T. (G) 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. 31. Dardai M. 33. Karbownik M. 23. Eichhorn K. 30. Seguin P. 11. Reese F. (C) 10. Cuisance M. 22. Winkler M. 18. Schuler L.
Substitutes
49. Akhalaia L. 26. Boevink P. (G) 14. Consbruch J. 18. Higl F. 38. Marita R. 8. Olesen M. 2. Reich L. 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.	6. Demme D. 2. Eitschberger J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 27. Kolbe N. 9. Kownacki D. 14. Krattenmacher M. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 42. Zeefuik D.
Coaches
Vogel H.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', Dardai M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Reese F. ⚽, Cuisance M. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Schuler L. ⚽, Cuisance M. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Hrgota B. ⚽, Dehm J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Winkler M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Klaus F. ⚽, Hrgota B. (A),
62', 2 - 3, Schuler L. ⚽, Karbownik M. (A),
65', Ziereis P. 🟨,
67', Dardai M. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
67', Schuler L. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
78', Futkeu N. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
81', 3 - 3, Srbeny D. ⚽,
85', Cuisance M. 🟨,
86', Eichhorn K. ↓, Zeefuik D. ↑,
86', Winkler M. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
88', Klaus F. 🟨,
89', Cuisance M. ↓, Demme D. ↑,
90+5', Klaus F. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
90+5', Hrgota B. ↓, Higl F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2.

Fürth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hertha is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fürth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hertha could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Jensen L. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
07.12.25	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	4:2 ✺
07.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWL
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
07.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	6:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kaiserslautern - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.05.25	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	1:0
07.12.24	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	2:1
11.02.24	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	1:2
26.08.23	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	5:0
German Bundesliga
12.02.22	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	2:1
17.09.21	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	2:1

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