Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
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Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Paderborn		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.95	6.9	Watch
	1.45	4.56	6.78	Watch
	1.37	4.85	7.65	Watch
	1.39	5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.82 ↑ (4.56)	7.21 ↑ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
67.5%

Draw
19.5%

Greuther Fürth
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.8%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

20%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Paderborn - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Fürth will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 20. Gotze F. (C) 25. Scheller T. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 26. Klaas S. 30. Marino S.	43. Prufrock S. (G) 33. Dietz M. 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 2. Reich L. 8. Olesen M. 37. Green J. 40. Abrangao D. 30. Klaus F. 9. Futkeu N. 10. Hrgota B. (C)
Substitutes
9. Batzner N. 28. Copado L. 6. Engelns L. 11. Michel S. 2. Muller R. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S. 18. Worner M.	26. Boevink P. (G) 14. Consbruch J. 23. Dehm J. 35. Engel J. 18. Higl F. 27. Itter G. 16. Keller A. 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Kleine T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Dietz M. 🟨,
34', Baur M. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
36', Ziereis P. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Curda L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 2 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽, Klaas S. (A),
65', Marino S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
65', Klaas S. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
73', Futkeu N. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
73', Abrangao D. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
73', Olesen M. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
77', Scheller T. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
77', Curda L. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
82', Green J. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
82', Hrgota B. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
86', Srbeny D. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Sillah O. ⚽, Higl F. (A),
90+3', Worner M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1.

Paderborn is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fürth is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Paderborn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paderborn is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) Korber N. (Shoulder Injury) Schlieck T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Thigh Injury)

We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:36. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen	2:4 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld	4:3 ✺
03.10.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Greuther Fürth
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.25	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	6:0 ✺
05.10.25	Greuther Fürth - Hannover	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
02.02.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	1:2
24.08.24	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	1:1
21.01.24	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	0:1
30.07.23	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	5:0
02.04.23	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	3:2
18.09.22	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	2:1
16.05.21	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	2:4

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