The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 39.8%
Draw 29.8%
Chesterfield 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
29.2%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
27.8%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchester United's performance.
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Colchester United - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 3. Iandolo E. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 7. Anderson H. 10. Payne J. 14. Lisbie K. 33. Mbick M.
1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 5. Grimes J. 19. Gordon L. 8. Stirk R. 13. Fleck J. 7. Mandeville L. 25. Dickson W. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W.
Substitutes
11. Gordon J. 2. Hunt R. 44. Kuffour S. 26. Powell J. 12. Smith T. (G) 9. Tovide S. 17. Williams J.
28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L. 20. Daley-Campbell V. 27. Darcy R. 24. Markanday D. 6. McFadzean K. 4. Naylor T.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Anderson H. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Payne J. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Mandeville L. ⚽, Tanton D. (A),
22', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
44', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
44', 3 - 1, Payne J. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
45+1', Dobra A. 🟨,
45+5', 4 - 1, Payne J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
63', Fleck J. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
63', Dickson W. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
66', Iandolo E. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
68', 5 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽, Mbick M. (A),
78', Bishop T. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
78', Mbick M. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
78', Dobra A. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
81', 5 - 2, Berry-McNally J. ⚽,
84', Lisbie K. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
90+6', 6 - 2, Anderson H. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Chesterfield might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Flanagan T.
(Injury)
Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
Iandolo E.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Duffy D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.61%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Chesterfield - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.19%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Macey M. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
Tanton D. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Gordon L. 
Stirk R. 
Dobra A. 
Grigg W. 
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