Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Grimsby Town		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.41	4.4	6.75
	1.37	4.4	7
	1.43	4.3	6.4
	1.44	4.51	7.52
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.44	4.65	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)	4.4 ↓ (4.7)	6.98 ↓ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
65.6%

Draw
21.1%

Dover Athletic
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.8%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.4%

17%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-3%)

Grimsby Town - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grimsby is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grimsby is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English National League
28.09.21	Bromley - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Maidenhead United - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Grimsby Town - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
14.09.21	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Torquay United - Grimsby Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWW
- Dover Athletic
English National League
25.09.21	Dover Athletic - Bromley	0:1 ✺
21.09.21	Dover Athletic - Solihull Moors	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
14.09.21	Eastleigh - Dover Athletic	4:1 ✺
11.09.21	Dover Athletic - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.04.16	Dover Athletic - Grimsby Town	1:1
19.12.15	Grimsby Town - Dover Athletic	1:0
24.03.15	Dover Athletic - Grimsby Town	0:1
16.08.14	Grimsby Town - Dover Athletic	1:1

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