Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 24

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Weymouth		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.15	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.17	3.41	3.22
	2.17	3.41	3.22
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.11	3.42	3.18
	2.13	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.73)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	3.13 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
43.2%

Draw
27.5%

Dover Athletic
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

23.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Weymouth's form might have worsened.

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dover Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dover Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Weymouth - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 4.

Recent matches Weymouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dover is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dover have a series of home games.

Weymouth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
16.12.23	Chippenham Town - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Hendon - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
English National League South
05.12.23	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Weymouth - Aveley	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Weymouth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLTW
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
16.12.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:3 ✺
25.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weymouth	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weymouth	4:5 penalties
English National League South
09.09.23	Dover Athletic - Weymouth	1:3
29.04.23	Dover Athletic - Weymouth	0:2
24.09.22	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	0:2
English National League
15.05.22	Dover Athletic - Weymouth	1:2
18.09.21	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	1:1
English FA Cup
19.10.19	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
31.10.26	Dover Athletic - Farnham Town	✺

Weymouth - Dover Athletic