Match Info

League Two - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Massey-Ellis R. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.50	3.90	Watch
	1.90	3.50	3.75
	1.86	3.50	4.00	Watch
	1.96	3.69	3.87
	1.88	3.65	3.81	Watch
	1.90	3.65	3.80
	1.90	3.50	3.90	Watch
	1.91	3.45	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	3.56 ↑ (3.41)	3.85 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
49.4%

Draw
26.3%

Fleetwood Town
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fleetwood (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Fleetwood (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 8. Doyle C. 30. Vernam C. 39. Cook A.	1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 6. Bennett R. 5. Potter F. 29. Cirino R. 7. Cannon A. 4. Neal H. 10. Helm M. 14. McCann L. 9. Davies W. 17. Evans C. (C)
Substitutes
41. Auton S. (G) 10. Finch S. 12. Foulkes J. 9. Morgan I. 26. Pruti E. 11. Reynolds R. 7. Walker J.	3. Andrew D. 19. Coughlan R. 16. Haughey C. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 27. McLean C. 15. Murphy A. 22. Pradic J. (G)
Coaches
Artell D.	Lawlor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Davies W. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
25', Rodgers H. 🟨,
28', Cannon A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Doyle C. ⚽, Green K. (A),
38', Lawlor M. 🟨,
45+1', Potter F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Amaluzor J. ↓, Finch S. ↑,
57', Davies W. 🟨,
60', Davies W. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
61', Bennett R. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Cook A. ⚽, Turi G. D. (A),
69', 2 - 2, Potter F. ⚽, Coughlan R. (A),
74', Vernam C. ↓, Morgan I. ↑,
77', Cannon A. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
78', Kacurri M. 🟨,
83', Doyle C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
85', Cirino R. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 3.

Grimsby has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fleetwood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grimsby is the team to beat.

There will not play in Grimsby: Cartwright H. (Inactive) Staunton R. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Fleetwood: Haughey C. (Inactive) Thompson-Sommers K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Grimsby: 4.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13
16	Fleetwood	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Grimsby Town - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.73%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
22.08.26	Walsall - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Grimsby Town - Blackpool	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Grimsby Town - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Boston United - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLWT
- Fleetwood Town
English League Cup
25.08.26	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	4:0 ✺
English League Two
22.08.26	Fleetwood Town - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Fleetwood Town - Chesterfield	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Hartlepool United - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.03.26	Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town	1:0
01.01.26	Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town	0:1
22.02.25	Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town	2:1
10.08.24	Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town	1:0
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town	1:0
English National League
06.03.12	Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town	N/A

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