Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Grimsby Town		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.37
	2.9	3.2	2.45
	2.95	3.3	2.45
	3.05	3.05	2.35
	3.18	3.28	2.45
	3	3.1	2.35
	3.14	3.34	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.57)	3.22 ↓ (3.27)	2.41 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
31.1%

Draw
29.5%

Scunthorpe United
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

21.7%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grimsby Town - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Grimsby has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Scunthorpe has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Grimsby has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Scunthorpe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
15.12.20	Southend United - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Grimsby Town - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
08.12.20	Grimsby Town - Newport County	0:2 ✺
05.12.20	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
01.12.20	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
15.12.20	Scunthorpe United - Barrow	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	Scunthorpe United - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Scunthorpe United - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Harrogate Town - Scunthorpe United	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.03.20	Scunthorpe United - Grimsby Town	0:2
21.12.19	Grimsby Town - Scunthorpe United	0:1
English EFL Trophy
03.09.19	Grimsby Town - Scunthorpe United	1:2
03.10.17	Scunthorpe United - Grimsby Town	2:1
English FA Cup
19.11.13	Scunthorpe United - Grimsby Town	1:2
09.11.13	Grimsby Town - Scunthorpe United	0:0
Club Friendly
24.07.12	Scunthorpe United - Grimsby Town	N/A

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