The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 28.5%
Draw 29.4%
Colchester United 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
29.1%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
21.2%
54.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scunthorpe United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Scunthorpe United - Colchester United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 19).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (93.5%), has project points - 33, has currently - 24, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Colchester has the most likely position - 20 (14.15%), has project points - 50, has currently - 36, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality5, small importance14, small match rating10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 2.
Scunthorpe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Colchester is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Colchester have a series of home games.
Colchester will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.
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