Match Info

Date: 9 October 2021, Saturday


	Harrogate Town		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	6
	1.58	4	5.5
	1.62	3.75	5.8
	1.61	3.7	5.4
	1.64	3.91	5.85
	1.57	3.7	5.5
	1.66	3.95	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	3.83 ↓ (4.01)	5.71 ↓ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
58.7%

Draw
24.7%

Scunthorpe United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

19.8%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-3%)

Harrogate Town - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Harrogate has the most likely position - 7 (5.52%), has project points - 67, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (41.05%), has project points - 38, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Harrogate is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Scunthorpe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Harrogate is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Harrogate Town - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
English League Two
02.10.21	Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Harrogate Town - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
21.09.21	Crawley Town - Harrogate Town	2:2 ✺
18.09.21	Port Vale - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTL
- Scunthorpe United
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Rotherham United - Scunthorpe United	4:1 ✺
English League Two
02.10.21	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Scunthorpe United - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Scunthorpe United - Exeter City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.02.21	Scunthorpe United - Harrogate Town	3:1
01.12.20	Harrogate Town - Scunthorpe United	2:5

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