Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Triller TV+


	Groningen		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.95	3.55	1.95
	4.16	3.6	2
	4.77	3.11	1.88	Watch
	3.97	3.63	1.95	Watch
	5.2	4.8	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↓ (5.23)	3.66 ↓ (4.85)	1.88 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
22.1%

Draw
26.4%

Feyenoord
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

19.3%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

18.6%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Feyenoord might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feyenoord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.9%	6.2%	46.9%

Groningen - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 14 - 45.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 30.8% – 66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 4 - 25%). Feyenoord (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Feyenoord (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Feyenoord (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 8. de Jonge T. 6. Resink S. (C) 17. van der Werff D. 10. Taha Y. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 26. Read G. 4. Watanabe T. 31. Jeng M. 15. Bos J. 28. Targhalline O. 8. Timber Q. 40. Valente L. 23. Hadj Moussa A. (C) 9. Ueda A. 16. Sauer L.
Substitutes
22. Bouland S. 57. Eggens N. 7. Hernes T. 69. Hoekstra M. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 48. Kelder R. 18. Land T. 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G)	1. Bijlow J. (G) 11. Borges G. 39. Bossin L. (G) 27. Diarra G. 6. Hwang In-Beom 10. Larin C. 30. Lotomba J. 2. Nieuwkoop B. 43. Plug J. 32. Sliti A. 5. Smal G. 17. Tengstedt C.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	van Persie R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jeng M. ↓, Smal G. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Ueda A. ⚽, Bos J. (A),
56', Wellenreuther T. 🟨,
67', Read G. ↓, Nieuwkoop B. ↑,
68', Schreuders J. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
69', van der Werff D. ↓, Hoekstra M. ↑,
69', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
76', Ueda A. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
76', Sauer L. ↓, Sliti A. ↑,
83', Mercera T. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
90', Valente L. ↓, Hwang In-Beom ↑,
90+1', Land T. 🟨,
90+4', Larin C. 🟨,
90+9', Land T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Feyenoord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Feyenoord is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N. (Muscle Injury) Willumsson B. (Injury) van der Laan E. (Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Ahmedhodzic A. (Red Card) Beelen T. (Broken Leg) Moder J. (Knock) Trauner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zand S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:33. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.25	Groningen - Telstar	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Utrecht - Groningen	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Groningen - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	4:2 ✺
16.08.25	Groningen - Heerenveen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW
- Feyenoord
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Braga - Feyenoord	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
17.09.25	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.04.25	Feyenoord - Groningen	4:1
14.09.24	Groningen - Feyenoord	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.02.24	Feyenoord - Groningen	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
04.03.23	Feyenoord - Groningen	1:0
15.01.23	Groningen - Feyenoord	0:3
05.03.22	Feyenoord - Groningen	1:1
12.12.21	Groningen - Feyenoord	1:1

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