Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AZ Alkmaar		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.7	2.63	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.85
	2.42	3.7	2.72
	2.47	3.81	2.73
	1.66	4.33	4.35	Watch
	2.64	3.8	2.57	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.31)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	2.96 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
41.6%

Draw
25.7%

Feyenoord
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

25.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	25%	40%

AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.30) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 7.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Feyenoord (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Feyenoord will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 10. Mijnans S. 8. Clasie J. (C) 26. Smit K. 11. Sadiq I. 35. Meerdink M. 27. Daal R.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 26. Read G. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 4. Watanabe T. 15. Bos J. 40. Valente L. 14. Steijn S. (C) 8. Timber Q. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 9. Ueda A. 32. Sliti A.
Substitutes
15. Chavez Garcia M. 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Kwakman D. 33. Sin M. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)	1. Bijlow J. (G) 39. Bossin L. (G) 27. Diarra G. 47. Kraaijeveld T. 10. Larin C. 2. Nieuwkoop B. 43. Plug J. 36. Slory J. 5. Smal G. 28. Targhalline O. 17. Tengstedt C.
Coaches
Martens M.	van Persie R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Clasie J. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Daal R. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Steijn S. (Pen),
38', Sadiq I. 🟨,
45+1', Penetra 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sadiq I. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Kasius D. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
56', 2 - 2, Bos J. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
61', Goes W. 🟨,
63', Sliti A. ↓, Slory J. ↑,
70', Ahmedhodzic A. 🟨,
71', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
71', Mijnans S. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
72', Slory J. 🟨,
78', 2 - 3, Hadj Moussa A. ⚽, Steijn S. (A),
82', Clasie J. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
82', Kasius D. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
84', Hadj Moussa A. ↓, Nieuwkoop B. ↑,
84', Valente L. ↓, Targhalline O. ↑,
90+2', Timber Q. ↓, Plug J. ↑,
90+3', Steijn S. ↓, Smal G. ↑,
90+4', Nieuwkoop B. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 3, Meerdink M. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 0.

AZ is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Feyenoord is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Feyenoord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AZ has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Parrott T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Beelen T. (Broken Leg) Borges G. (Personal Reasons) Hwang In-Beom (Inactive) Lotomba J. (Inactive) Moder J. (Knock) Trauner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zand S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 21:40. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
14.09.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia	4:1 ✺
21.08.25	Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.25	Volendam - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWT
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
17.09.25	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Excelsior - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
05.04.25	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	0:1
02.11.24	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	3:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
07.02.24	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
04.02.24	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	0:1
12.11.23	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	1:0
18.02.23	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	2:1
16.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	1:3

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