Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Austria	Laola1
Belgium	Play Sports 4
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	ESPN 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	ESPN
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport TV2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	PSV Eindhoven		Groningen

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	9	Watch
	1.31	6.25	8.00
	1.37	4.8	8.3	Watch
	1.3	6.45	9.35
	1.3	6.12	8.31	Watch
	1.27	6.35	8.55
	1.32	5.88	9.69	Watch
	1.27	6.2	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)	5.98 ↑ (5.35)	8.68 ↑ (7.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
73.1%

Draw
16%

Groningen
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

17.6%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

19.1%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

PSV Eindhoven - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 6. Flamingo R. 4. Obispo A. 17. Mauro Junior (C) 20. Til G. 24. Sano K. 31. Fernandez N. 5. Perisic I. 9. Pepi R. 7. van Bommel R.	1. Vaessen E. (G) 14. Schreuders J. 3. Blokzijl T. (C) 4. Csinger M. 2. Prins W. 8. de Jonge T. 18. Land T. 17. van der Werff D. 26. van Bergen T. 24. Clement P. 9. Willumsson B.
Substitutes
19. Bajraktarevic E. 37. Bouhamdi A. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Geertruida L. 18. Kostic F. 27. Man D. 21. Mijnans S. 41. Ngom K. (G) 1. Olij N. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 10. Wanner P.	12. Brandis N. 44. Dillema J. 53. Hall J. 7. Hernes T. 31. Janse R. (G) 42. Mosselaar J. 16. Nordin A. 11. Ondrejka J. 5. Rente M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 19. Zawada O.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Willumsson B. ⚽, van Bergen T. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Blokzijl T. (Own goal),
21', van Bommel R. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽,
45+2', Csinger M. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 1, Pepi R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Schreuders J. ↓, Rente M. ↑,
53', 4 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Mauro Junior (A),
54', Rente M. ↓, Brandis N. ↑,
56', 5 - 1, Dest S. ⚽, van Bommel R. (A),
67', Willumsson B. ↓, van der Laan E. ↑,
67', van der Werff D. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
68', van Bommel R. ↓, Bouhamdi A. ↑,
68', Fernandez N. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
75', Mauro Junior ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
76', Perisic I. ↓, Man D. ↑,
85', Obispo A. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
85', de Jonge T. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 5.

Recent performances by PSV have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Groningen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, PSV is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in PSV: Schouten J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Groningen: Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Mercera T. (Injury) Metu R. (Injury) Zawada O. (Knock)

There are questionable in Groningen: Rente M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:18. (average 2.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:6. (average 2.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.26	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
02.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLWL
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.26	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	1:4 ✺
09.08.26	Groningen - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Groningen - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Groningen - Volos	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Groningen - Volendam	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.26	Groningen - PSV Eindhoven	1:2
23.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	4:2
05.04.25	Groningen - PSV Eindhoven	1:3
23.11.24	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:0
11.02.23	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	6:0
23.10.22	Groningen - PSV Eindhoven	4:2
16.01.22	Groningen - PSV Eindhoven	0:1

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