Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Groningen		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.95	4.25
	1.81	3.93	4.51
	1.75	3.61	4.62	Watch
	1.83	3.89	4.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	4.5 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Groningen
53.9%

Draw
24.9%

Sparta Rotterdam
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	11.1%	3.7%

Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Groningen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 16. Mercera T. 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 8. de Jonge T. 6. Resink S. (C) 17. van der Werff D. 10. Taha Y. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T.	1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 6. Baas J. 8. Toornstra J. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Duijvestijn L. 11. Oufkir A. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
22. Bouland S. 7. Hernes T. 69. Hoekstra M. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 48. Kelder R. 18. Land T. 27. Mendes R. 2. Prins W. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 19. Zawada O.	12. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 16. Clement P. 18. de Guzman J. 13. de Ligt M. 22. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Ltaief S. 21. Santos A. 19. Thorisson N. 15. van Aanholt P. 14. Velthuis T.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Lauritsen T. ⚽, Oufkir A. (A),
38', Blokzijl T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Schreuders J. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
60', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,
69', van Bergen M. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
72', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
73', Toornstra J. 🟨,
77', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
77', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
84', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
84', Oufkir A. ↓, van Aanholt P. ↑,
88', Janse D. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, van Aanholt P. ⚽,
90', van der Werff D. ↓, Hoekstra M. ↑,
90+3', Land T. 🟨,
90+7', Toornstra J. ↓, de Guzman J. ↑,
90+7', Lauritsen T. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.

Groningen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sparta Rotterdam is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Groningen is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Groningen: Holder Y. (Injury) Rente M. (Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Groningen: Mercera T. (Injury) van der Werff D. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
03.10.25	NAC Breda - Groningen	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Groningen - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Groningen - Telstar	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Utrecht - Groningen	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Groningen - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWW
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
04.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:5 ✺
14.09.25	Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	1:0
09.11.24	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
28.05.23	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:5
17.09.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	2:1
07.05.22	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2
17.10.21	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	1:1
02.05.21	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2

Upcoming Matches