Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4d 8h 📅 Remind Me


	Groningen		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.00	4.20	Watch
	1.75	4.20	4.00
	1.67	4.20	4.25
	1.79	4.30	4.13
	1.73	4.25	4.08	Watch
	1.70	4.15	4.05
	1.74	4.28	4.28	Watch
	1.72	4.10	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)	4.19 ↓ (4.47)	4.12 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
54.6%

Draw
22.5%

Sparta Rotterdam
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

20.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Groningen's form might have worsened.

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Groningen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 1.

In recent outings, Groningen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sparta Rotterdam is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Groningen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Groningen is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Groningen has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:34 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Groningen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:16 goals (averaging 1.3:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24:21	3	15
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Groningen: 0.21% Sparta Rotterdam: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.26	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	2:2 ✺
18.10.26	Groningen - Ajax	2:5 ✺
11.10.26	Excelsior - Groningen	1:5 ✺
18.09.26	Groningen - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWWT
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Sparta Rotterdam	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	0:4 ✺
13.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	2:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	5:2
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.25	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2
02.02.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	1:0
09.11.24	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
28.05.23	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:5
17.09.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	2:1

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